Wednesday, 24 December 2008

Raising more questions than it answered...

Today (yes, Christmas Eve!) I accompanied my business buddy to visit a potential manufacturer for his product.

It was a really useful trip for a number of reasons.

Firstly, just spending time (it was a 2 and a half hour drive there and back!) with my business buddy chatting about his idea and my idea.

Second of all, it felt that we were making real progress with the idea by visiting a manufacturer.

Thirdly, the positive reaction from the manufacturer just in seeing the idea for the first time. They were actually blown away with it, and one of them asked at the end if they could keep it.
And as always there's a downside - and for us there was a realisation that finding the right "combination" was our challenge. The range of designs & functional elements is massive, and so far we haven't landed on an absolute.
My business buddy's first words in entering the car was to say "let's focus on more research" and answer once and for all which design & which functional elements were right for his idea.

Monday, 22 December 2008

Tip Off Pays Off...

I wrote previously about finding similar ideas to mine, and this weekend I yet again came across an interpretation of my own idea, thanks to a tip off from a friend...



Now at first I thought "Shit!" as this was similar in execution, but then I realised it had many serious flaws...



First, I hadn't heard of it. This lack of awareness was a serious problem for them (and a bonus to me!). I have been hunting on the Internet for approximately 18 months for exactly these type of things, and only found it now. You would need to know what you were looking for to find it, and they have (as yet) not found a way to breakthrough their awareness. I believe that my awareness will be built at Point of Purchase of a related product as an ancillary service



Second of all, the route to consumer is completely different (and I believe flawed) compared to mine. The chosen route for this competitor means that they have a more direct relationship with the consumer, but that is a problem for three reasons - one is that there is insufficient awareness (see point one above); secondly, I believe that the direct relationship with the consumer is the wrong relationship to establish, as the consumer will struggle to connect with the product in a relatively sterile environment, whereas I believe that by involving another party (which involves, unfortunately offering the other party margin!) the consumer will be fully connected and more likely to use the product. And possibly the third (and biggest) reason is that their costs to serve will probably be higher than mine - this may seem counter intuitive, as one would expect a direct relationship to be more profitable, but in this instance their cash collection rates will be higher as they are outsourcing their cash collection through a third party and only maintaining a maximum of 60%), who in turn will charge significantly more than the margin my retailers expect to make.



The third main flaw for this competitor is their pricing is between 250% and 800% more expensive than mine (depending upon how I can resolve the cost of goods issue).



Fourthly is that for some bizarre reason, they have restricted themselves to a specific category in a very wide market opportunity. Now this represents several million opportunities in totality but is only 1% of the total market, so it is very very limited whereas I believe mine is much much wider.



So in summary a good idea, broadly in line with mine, and the big differences are that I've come at mine from a commercial point of view whereas I think they have come about it from a technology / addressing a specific need without seeing the broad appeal of their idea and then thinking it through from there.


P.S. One thought that enters my head is perhaps to approach them to perhaps see about using their systems to support my idea in the short term...

My time machine... set the dials for 2016

I had another session with a life coach the other day, and we circled around the hairy topic of what I was looking for in the future and helping me make decisions about work, life, the universe etc....

One of the tools was for me to paint a picture of a time in the future that was relevant to me. This was my first big challenge... when in my future life was I going to be measured? This was part of the problem... I didn't know where I was going and didn't have a goal set for the future, so couldn't then work towards it. So in the end, I plumped for (randomly!) 7 years time in 2016...

I was then invited to brainstorm what the future held for me and then to reflect back upon that future to this time and place, generating a list of what had happened by 2016. Once I completed the list, I was invited to then prioritise my list, and my coach then interrogated & really challenged my priority of these items (but not the items on the list) and what became clear was that some were not the priority I thought they were and some were linked by cause & effect.

It was an emotional experience, especially the realisation of the shadow of my dad that I have created in my life, even at my age now. I don't think it will be the last experience with a life coach (as I've got many other issues needing to be resolved, e.g. self limiting behaviour...) and thus far its been very very helpful...

So I thought I would share with you the glimpse I have into this future with my list in order of importance...
  1. I am on a path/direction for the future. I have clarity.
  2. I feel stable; I have roots. I continue to be close to my friends. We are emotionally close, involved in each others lives; my family is their family and vice versa.
  3. I have felt challenged and successful at meeting that challenge – this is my destiny.
  4. I am financially secure – if I have an idea, I can go and do it; I am not constrained.
  5. I am challenged by my father and have met that challenge and he respects me for that.
  6. I am a catalyst eg. helping people take an idea through to selling a product.
  7. I have broadened my skills, professionally and personally.
  8. I am having fun.
  9. I have brought fun and happiness into peoples lives.
  10. I have helped other people (either directly or indirectly) as an inspiration.
  11. I am set up to be emotionally, financially and physically supportive of my mother.
  12. I am healthy and active.
  13. I am married with children. I have found someone who wants to challenge me, who I perceive is (at least) equal to me, emotionally secure, respects me and accepts my challenge.
  14. As a leader, people have met their own potential including myself.
  15. I own at least one property – possibly London, Italy and Scotland.

Sunday, 21 December 2008

Nothing Ventured

As I said in my earlier post, I met up with a Venture Capitalist (lets call him Charlie) and had a very interesting discussion over a bite to eat along with my business buddy.




We discussed many things including sources of finance and developments on my idea, and I thought I would give you a flavour of our discussions, but leave the details on my gorgeous ravioli for another time...




SOURCES OF FINANCE



Basically Charlie and most VC's don't get out of bed for anything less than £2m! And this £2m is not the total, but probably more than likely just the start of seed capital. And luckily for me, VC is one way to get funding, but not the only way.


He suggested a couple of sources of finance...

Family & Friends - using friends & family to contribute sufficient funding to get to the next level, such as banks, Venture Capitalists by proving the viability of your concept (either by actually producing the physical idea or by researching the concept with users).


Banks - through a number of different ways banks can help start the ball rolling. They can offer personal overdrafts or perhaps credit cards can offer a solution. They can also be approached for loans for equipment or other assets. The government's small firm loan guarantee scheme may be an option to consider.


Grants - A list of grants is available through Grantnet or through the Government which has an array of funds available but also in most cases requires matching private sector finance. European funding is also available through http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/funding/index.htm or http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/entrepreneurship/financing/index_en.htm


Third Parties, like Business Angels who are individuals willing to invest start up cash in return for a share of ownership in these companies... its a bit like Dragon's Den...


Local Enterprise Agencies - these are quasi public bodies throughout the UK that support and sometimes finance local business and start-ups. They may be able to help across a number of areas... helping to find premises, marketing & sales support, consulting, training and counselling - the NFEA will help you find your local Enterprise Agency. Business Link is the probably the best place to start to find out general information



DEVELOPMENTS ON MY IDEA

I pitched my idea to him over lunch in a straightforward way and, in his eyes, this was a "niche" idea, especially as it wasn't developing breakthrough technology or radically changing the economics of it all. Now part of me at the time was like "Niche? I'll give you niche!" but I think what he was meaning was that it was specific to a certain field and a certain area. He's probably looking at fields which are broad in their use like bio-technology or electronics - both of which have much wider opportunities.


One thing he did start to point out was that my level of experience in starting up a business is limited and the industry into which I am plunging I know relatively little about, and he suggested that I gain some kind of support either directly with a partner who has background in this type of area or perhaps a mentor who can guide me through some of the ups & downs. Not a bad idea for the future...


He also suggested looking at different sources of income and also different sources of supply. Income was an interesting one as he thought the key was in offering my product for as little as possible, perhaps even free and fund the cost through advertising or selling data. Both of these revenue streams I had considered in the past but am not confident they will cover my costs never mind actually offer margin for myself or for the retailer. Definitely one to consider in the future to help improve my margins over the long term.


As for sources of supply, this was actually a key thought about how I can get from where I am now to where I want to be. I am testing my product by using a bodged method of different components and perhaps by using a third party's systems I can reduce my per unit costs until such times as i reach a critical mass and can spin this out on my own. The other great benefit of this is great expertise


I asked him about how people pitch their ideas to him. Generally with an "elevator" pitch of 2 sides of A4, and then, if he likes or is intrigued by the idea he invites them for a follow up meeting with a short 40 or so slide presentation. A business plan is not critical but it can help.

So all in all, I found the meeting pretty helpful, though I did leave in a bit of doubt. Doubt about what was the right way to finance and other income streams to consider But at least I know that VC is not for me...

Wednesday, 17 December 2008

Sum of all fears

No, this isn't a critique on that crap film with Morgan Freedman and Ben Affleck.


It was recently suggested that I should focus on what keeps me awake at night on my little project so I can bring to life my fears and face them down.

I feel I have lots of fears, and that in some way these fears are holding me back in some shape or form. The following is not an exhaustive nor thought-through list, but just a list at precissely this point in time...

I fail completely - I've put a great deal of emotional energy into my idea and told lots of people that I want to start my own business. And that's deliberate to keep me motivated and commited to the idea. But the other side of that commitment benefit is the risk of embarrassment and failure.
I lose money - I've already put in quite a bit of cash into my idea. Not big, life changing amounts of cash, but the several hundred of pounds here and there, that would have gone on more interesting things. The real worry is that I lose other people's money (should I be able to / need to get people to invest).
My business doesn't live up to my expectations - My business doesn't give me the challenge, rewards, prosperity, confidence in my future that I expect. This is the biggest worry I have - that I get to the destination and realise I don't enjoy it.
Somebody else nicks it before I've started - this was for a long time my big worry, but as time has gone on it has regressed p[artly because there have been other people out there with a similar idea but just nnot the same execution.
Somebody else produces a ME Too once I've started - now this really is a worry, but I hope that by keeping my costs low and having a great offer, that the chance of a ME2 starting is reduced. I also hope that by designing my terms & conditions that it would become less appealing for others to come along and immediately nick my customers.
I can't meet demand - I worry that I've not got enough resource (cash, people, time) to meet any rush (hark at me!) and I miss the opportunity...
I can't find anybody to stock it - this is a real worry. I don't have any direct experience in the market I'm in, but I'm confident I've found a proposition that works for them. But its still a risk and I worry that my ignorance means I'm doomed for disaster.
Its too expensive and nobody buys it - again another little worry that its just not perceived as being value for money.
I don't enjoy it - similar to the one about it not meeting my expectations, in that I really just don't enjoy running my own business and struggle to get motivated
I lose support - again similar to the first one about being a failure that I worry that my friends & family think less of me for trying and failing.
I can't get the start up capital - right now in the middle of recession, this really is a big worry for me. I could have a great idea, lots of energy and passion to start something but not a penny to get after it. I don't know how I would cope with that as it would be massively frustrating...
I lose my job - my plan is to go on sabatical to offset a risk of my business failing but there could be potential that I lose my job before or after my sabatical. Either of those would bring about a big decision to be made.

I'm sure that those are only some of the fears I have and I'm not sure I'm really facing them, but a bit of denial goes a long way...

Victor Charlie gets a free lunch

My business buddy has set me up to meet a friend of his who is a Venture Capitalist over lunch, and I'm looking forward to meeting up with him to get a sense of the lie of the land.


I'm hoping he can answer the following questions...

  • What is the process for getting funding?

  • Which are the right funds to approach and how do you get to find them? How do you get a meeting with them?

  • How do they decide which projects to invest behind?

  • What are the key things they are looking for?

  • What is the most appropriate way to value a business? Is it a Discounted Cash Flow on mythical numbers?

  • What will I have to concede in terms of ownership?

  • How much will I have to invest myself?

  • How long does it take to secure funding?

  • What is the view on taking a sabatical from work rather than being truely free?

  • Can I draw a regular salary from the company or will I have to be self-sufficient?

I'm not expecting to pitch to him or to present any of my ideas, just to chat through these questsions in return for him enjoying his free lunch...

Monday, 8 December 2008

The force is strong with this one

Last week, I did something that if my friend Kenny found out, he might strongly object to.

Now with statement like that, it might seem that what I did last week would be down right illegal, immoral or impractical.

But the reality is far less intriguing. I went to see a life-coach.

There. I admitted it. Kenny don't go mental!

For awhile I have been feeling listless about many things, and despite what this blog might indicate, I had not been feeling I was fully committed to getting my idea off the page.

So when a colleague who is studying to become a life coach asked for volunteers to allow his fellow pupils to try out their new found skills for free (normally they would cost up to £300 per hour!), I ripped his arm off!

I spent just over an hour with Jennifer (her name has been changed to protect the innocent, Kenny!) and at first it was a bit clunky, but at the end it was all worth it. I felt a clear understanding of where I was in my journey and what I could do to help me on the forthcoming steps.
We used a tool called the Force Field Analysis, and she guided me through how to use. First she helped me define what my decision actually was, and then what would it take to make this decision and what is holding me back, defined as Drivers & Constraints. Once I had a list of them I then scored out of ten just how big they were currently.
I was quite surprised just at the lack of high scoring Drivers I scored, but I suppose that is a reflection of just where things are right now and the lack of momentum I've been feeling. I was also surprised at how many of the Drivers were emotional where as most of the Constraints were much more tangible.
Now the clever bit... She suggested I use the things are currently big drivers to fuel the other Drivers which in turn will reduce the level of some of the Constraints I'm feeling, and come up with an action plan to build up momentum again...

Wind out of my sails


I knew, long before I embarked on my little voyage, that I would face tough times. Times where I might not know the answer, in fact I might not even know the question. I knew that my motivation may go up as well as down.

And the last 5 weeks or so has been exactly that. The wind has genuinely dropped out of my sails. I had had the wind & sun on my back for several weeks, and I suppose looking back on it now, it was bound to happen.

What has happened is a reflection upon a few things...

I had lost a bit of momentum back at the end of September (may be even before) when I was struggling to find a retailer to run my test (I think the number of blog articles I write might actually be proportional to my level of momentum & motivation - the more motivated I am, the more I want to share my thoughts in this blog, and charting it as I have in the picture seems to be in line with how I was feeling... anyway...). But I had knuckled down to find a solution, which I did find, but it meant it delayed me longer than I expected, and meant that during my break from work, where I should have been focused on delivering the test, I was busy setting up the test. So timing was against me!

I then started back doing my day job, just as I had agreed my test, and struggled to find the time to administer the test! My timing issue had caught up with me, and was now biting me on my backside.

On top of this I had budgeted to test in one outlet, so having twice as many outlets that I bargained for, presented a risk that quite frankly I couldn't cover if my product really took off.

So all in all, I had lost my way, lost my momentum.

But luckily for me, my buddy was on an up curve, and he has set me up to see a Venture Capitalist in the coming weeks so I can understand a bit more about the next big steps in the plan.

And that has injected a bit more life back into me, its re-built my desire and filled my sails. I now need to get the Point of Sale sorted, to get the test sorted out and get the results in, so that when I meet the VC I have some evidence of the potential of this idea. So need to get action planning...

Monday, 3 November 2008

Domains Annoymous

I need help!

I need to get off this addiction...

I now seem to be in a frame of mind which is constantly coming up with business ideas. So far I've come up with TWO Internet dating sites; a mobile phone application; a consultancy for new business start-ups; a golf range; a couple of pub ideas and a nationwide "Business Buddy" network application. And that's before I've had my dinner...

And I have already bought some domain names for some of the ideas mentioned above, even before I've built up the Big Idea, concept or even a business plan.

On chatting with my business buddy the other evening we both realised that we are now seeing the world through a different lens... a lens of opportunity.. a lens of ideas that have yet to come to life...

And the only thing that is really stopping both of us with all these other ideas is a combination of cash to play with and time. I think if one of us has a success, then both of us would then end up just coming up with ideas and chasing down these ideas with more energy.

But for now I am left with my addiction to buying domain names... I think I own 20 now...

Patience is a virgin

Throughout this whole process, I have had something confirmed to me that I suspected about myself for some time...


I'm not really a patient person, yet others perceive that I am. I feel I get frustrated quite quickly about myself & my ideas and give up before others do. I am easily my fiercest critic.

The classic case is where I had given up hope and then 10 minutes later hope had been restored. But it happens all the time, and not just with my ideas or with work.

I sometimes call this "the darkest hour" as I always think its over just before I turn the corner. And I suppose the good thing is I am learning that about myself and therefore spending slightly longer to make sure I truly am giving things enough time. That I truly am getting the best perspective.

Today my patience is beginning to wear thin about my funding for this stage of my idea... certain commitments have been made by others, but at this stage they are not forthcoming, despite me chasing them down. But then again they have stressed they will know more by Tuesday, so may be I shouldn't panic...

Pateience & determination I think are the keys to unlock the opoprtunities... I just need to remember the "darkest hour" and not give up all hope just yet...

Saturday, 25 October 2008

Once a show stopper... now an opportunity

Both my business buddy & I had some bad news on our costs today, and for me this is a moment when I realise that even bad news can have a positive effect.


I had made some assumptions about my cost structure based on Internet searches, so when I finally got round to talking to one of the main suppliers in the UK today he said I couldn't reach that level of pricing. I could of course source supply from outside of the UK, but he pointed out that this would not stand up to the quality that I require for my idea. So it looks like my cost structure is now THREE times higher than I expected.


Now, this is the bit where I recognise I have changed through this whole process...

If I had heard that news 18 months ago when I was first researching this idea, I think I would have shut up shop and forgot about this idea. But now, I think to myself how can I overcome this obstacle; how can this make my idea better; etc...

And the funny thing is, I think it has made it better. I've now had the jolt for me to revisit the actual size & packaging of my idea. I'm coming round to the idea to re-package my idea into a "bundles" set up, where you can buy smaller denominations of my product depending upon your need rather than the one size fits all package I had previously tried to create. This means I can keep the per unit price at a great headline price, and flex the appeal of my idea to a wider number of users, rather than just the average.

And its the same for my buddy... he doesn't see his increased costs as a big issue - its just means he needs to be a bit more creative in his pricing, and possibly means he needs to position his product in a more premium sector with more premium appeal.

Friday, 24 October 2008

Monte Carlo or bust

Being the geek that I am, I've now developed my own Monte Carlo Simulation after reading about it in "Fooled By Randomness" by the same author as "The Black Swan", Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Its not a very sophisticated Monte Carlo Simulation, but it does do the job I set out to use it for - interrogating my business model.


This isn't the first time I've come across a Monte Carlo Simulation, as a Finance geek I used to work with (we used to call him the Temple of Doom!) used it to stress the probabilities of success for hitting our finance targets - he persuaded the company to buy a very sophisticated software package that I seem to recall was several hundred if not a thousand pounds, but anyway it looked amazing and told us all what we already knew - that we were not going to hit our targets!

Anyhow, my Sim has been used to "test the robustness" of my business model.

So I've taken my top down model (Total number of current users x Awareness x Trial x Distribution x Gross profit per unit) and run that 15,000 times with random numbers every time in each element of the model, e.g. Awareness.


Now at this stage its just a stack of numbers, so then comes the "fun" bit... the analysis. And this is the bit where I have to confess to not knowing exactly what I'm doing... (I should have kept awake during that one term of Stats I did at Uni!). But what I think I am doing is building a histogram using a function in Excel called Frequency which tells me the number of instances that the random numbers in my model have generated an answer within a set band level, i.e. bins. All very interesting I hear you cry...


Well I won't bore you with the detail on the guts of the model, but basically my Sim shows a range of possibilities for my business model, from £0 to £30m. The mean seems to be in the £8m ish range (give or take several hundred thousand pounds!) while the mode is in the £4m ish range. The standard deviation is £10m ish, and the Standard Error is under £100k. So what???


Now whilst it is possible that my business idea (if successful!) could hit £30m plus it is more probable than not to be significantly less than that, which has dented a bit of my enthusiasm. But still £2m is better than a kick in the teeth!


I've found building my Sim very stimulating and I already feel that it has been worthwhile for me as it has started me thinking about moving away from the big scale launch and more towards a slow burn launch. I think I will now use my little Sim a little more often now to see the effects of randomness on a whole range of things...


The image above is from Rolf Hicker

Sunday, 19 October 2008

Uping the ante

I wrote my last entry while sitting in my local tea shop enjoying a cup of tea and a couple of croissants, and as you could probably tell, feeling sorry for myself and trying to work out my next move.


And then the phone rang... my god! I had given up hope that my advertisement would deliver anything. So I'm trying to sound vaguely professional on the phone to a customer in the middle of a bustling tea shop at lunch time on a Wednesday, with clattering cups all around me. For some reason the customer didn't seem that distracted and was willing to see me the next day.

Suddenly I had to get my skates on... no more dilly dallying... I need to finish the proposition, print off some point of sale examples, and prepare for the meeting. Oh and I had to work out the customers location... Bollox! He's in deepest darkest bumpkinville! Why can't he be in glamorous west London???!

After bouncing the proposition off my business buddy, I went to bed trembling with a mixture of excitement of fear & hope. Hope that this would work. That this would be the breakthrough moment I had hoped for. That this would prove one way or another that my idea was good. But what happened if the customer didn't like it? Arghhh... My dreams were riding on the next 16 hours. Perhaps my whole life was being decided by the next few hours.


I met up with the customer (after a long & eventful trip!) and delivered my proposition. I could tell there was mild curiosity but was not getting a strong buying signals from him about if he really wanted this product. Looking back on it now, I think I had over sold it to him. I had made it too specific to his profession when in actual fact it was much simpler & wider than he was thinking. We chatted a bit more, and then I realised he didn't know I was offering him a no lose situation - basically I was going to guarantee his level of sales by a couple of hundred pounds AND he didn't have to buy anything off me. Suddenly his demeanour changed. He started to ask questions about how to make it work as opposed to the preceeding questions about its purpose and what was wrong with it. He had seen the opportunity - this was my chance.


He now unbelievably offered me more - his brother also ran the same sort of business and offered me an introduction to him, and he worked just up the road. Would I be interested in seeing him. I took the opportunity and this time made the sell far more simple. It was for everybody, not just a specifif type of person. I tapped into a general need rather than a specific condition! His brother really bought into it and started asking me lots of questions about how it worked, giving me loads of buying signals. In actual fact he made some additional suggestions about the product which I was like "why didn't I think of that?" and "He really wants that - that's loads of value to him, but little cost to me" (the Oxo cube / Treasure Chest scenario).


So I left there in a bit of haze. Both guys were up for the test. Both wanted additional things. Both had called my bluff. Now I had to deliver. Where would I get the Point of Sale? Where would I get a secure website? ARGGGGHHHH!!! Why do I always fly by the seat of my pants!!!!


Afterwards I spoke to my business buddy and he was over the moon. Our theory of making the first £100 was vindicated. I knew I couldn´t have done it without him, as every time he progressed I felt I had to push on, which in turn made me progress and in turn made him push on.


As if to confirm the feeling of constantly upping the ante, he emailed me the following day "I can't tell you how great it was to hear that your meeting went well. That is a truely momentous step!... it's my turn next to step up to the plate."


This is now a game of poker where both players could & should actually win the pot!

Wednesday, 15 October 2008

Frustrating Times

Its getting tougher and I'm getting more & more frustrated.


I have now started cold calling outlets to help me trial my new product, even though I've tried that before, and funnily enough I'm still hitting closed doors.


On top of that very real frustration at getting knocked back is the frustration that a great deal depends on this trial, that this trial would give me a breakthrough on my journey.


And this is the point where I really need breakthrough, even though I not sure it really ever happens like that. This trial will unlock a whole number of doors that have remained resolutely closed till now, and, I hope, present more doors to open once they themselves have been opened.


I know what the test will give me in the sense of objectives, but most importantly it will give me a sense of progression which in turn will build my confidence about my idea and about myself.


I am feeling massively frustrated. I just can't find an angle into these retailers, and it gets even more frustrating as I know just how much is riding on this.


And what is riding on this is my idea that I have nurtured for 18 months. Its my reputation as I have told people I am starting my own business. Its my self belief and confidence as I have told myself I can do this. Its my dreams of the life I want. So not much then...



And the trial gives me a chance to see if all of those things are possible, and so far I'm struggling even to ask the questions to the customers...

Thursday, 9 October 2008

Going Schizo!!!

I once pondered that I thought there were only two types of people in this world: lazy & thick.

And for the last week, I have been both of these types of people.

I've had a week off my day job so I can focus on starting up the test and see how it goes. I have relied on one route rather than chasing it down, and I'm beginning to face the consequences of that decision. I had really thought this through and thought it would be easier than it actually has been in the last 7 days (despite me spending hard cash to chase the game!). So I've been a bit of a thicko on that one...

But never mind just being thick - with my week off I thought I would be chasing leads down, making things happen, but in reality what I've been down is chasing my own tail. I've had long lies and pottered about the flat, and then disaster yesterday when I succumbed & bought a PlayStation 3! Now all my good intentions have been destroyed.

So all day today I have been cursing myself for being truly lazy and a bit thick, but I have resolved that I will shake my commitment up tomorrow... in time to go on a stag weekend in Ireland.

P.S. I am prone to making sweeping generalisations, and I know that people don't fall into JUST two main groups... there's at least 7!

Monday, 6 October 2008

Monday Blues...

My euphoria of getting stuck in to the game with me spending some cash is wearing thin, as its been a little slower than I expected in taking off.

The first step of my test isn't even finished yet and I'm already feeling a bit glum. I was kind of hoping to be inaundated with questions at least. But all I've had thus far is 5 visits to my website and 1 call.

Now that call was interesting... it was from a guy that sounded promising until I asked if he had taken part in tests before, to which he said "Yes" as he had a sister company that he had tested things on their part before. Curious, I took a look at his site. Now it wasn't even close to being a competitor but I think its just too close to actually test with him, so I think I'll leave it for now...

So may be this is just another "darkest hour before the dawn" moments... we shall see!

Monday, 29 September 2008

No going back...

£468. That is the measure of how much it has taken to move from theoritical discussions about my business plan to actually getting involved.

I have now bought into the game. I have made my investment in my test and I await to find out if this first instalment will pay off.

I know its either one of two things - its either a first instalment or my final instalment in this particular idea.

I actually know its not going to be my final instalment as I have already made other commitments to this idea over & above the £468, in web domains and building my first website.

As an aside, how addictive is buying web domains? I think I ended up buying 12 domains, and some of them were just for the hell of it! Keep me away from those damned domains...

"Geology is the study of pressure and time. That's all it takes really, pressure, and time"

The above quote comes from the film Shawshank Redemption, and I'm not going to spoil the plot of the film (though I think virtually everybody must have seen since its ALWAYS on FILMFOUR!!!) by giving away much more around the context of this quote. If you are in the small small minority who haven't seen this film, take the hint and see it...


Anyway, the reason for the quote is it recently resonated with me.

For what seems like an age, I've been chipping away at this idea, sometimes not feeling I have been making any progress and losing my confidence in the roller coaster of thinking I'm close to breaking through one moment, the next worrying about something falling down on top of me.

And what I've come to realise is that progress does not come all at once, but rather more incrementally, step by step over the course of a period of time. I have progressed my ideas somewhat since I first thought of them, and all of that is thanks to just applying pressure over a period of time.

With a nod to the film, its important not to lose hope and to make the most of the circumstances in which you find yourself whilst also applying the pressure constantly over however long a period of time it takes.

Saturday, 27 September 2008

"We will either find a way, or make one!" - Hannibal

I awoke this morning to a text from my business buddy - "Someone else has the patent for my idea!". I was straight on the phone to find out the details & see how he was...

His patent search had revealed that in February of this year a patent had been granted for his own idea to an individual in the US. The world started to cave in, and we were back on the rollercoaster.... arghhh!!! We'd both put in so much time and now this goes & happens...

But there are two ways to look at this - either its over so we pack up now or we dig in and make another way. And I am for the former.

At the least now we know where we are - there's no need to go through the hassle of applying for a patent, and we could enquire about licensing the idea for outside of the US and get cracking on it. Or perhaps we could even buy it from the guy - may be he doesn't know what he's got on his hands...

I'm also feeling confident as at least somebody else has had the idea and subsequently gone through the hassle & cost because they believe in the idea so much.

So, we'll see how his thoughts & feelings have progressed when we ctach up during the week... hopefully he's as gung-ho as me.

Saturday, 20 September 2008

How to develop a BIG IDEA...

I was recently asked to review an idea, and was delighted to have a look. The idea in itself was good and I can see people that would use it.

But I just think there's something more to it and I'm actually not sure exactly what the BIG IDEA behind it is... So I suggested trying to find this BIG IDEA by answering a number of simple questions and thought they might be of interest for others...


  • Who is the consumer? Can you bring this person to life? Could you map out a week in there life?
  • What are your consumers’ needs? What is the insight?
  • Where / how do they get these needs fulfilled currently?
  • What functional need does this idea meet? i.e. what does this idea do for me?
  • What emotional need does this idea meet? i.e what does this idea make me feel?
  • What is different about it? Is it new? cheaper? better?
  • When would it be used?
  • How would it be used?
  • What three words could you use to describe this idea?

Now, assuming you can answer these questions to some degree, refining the idea into a simple paragraph of no more than twenty or so words, that your granny would understand and covers the 5 W's (what is it, who would use it, when would they use it, where they would use it, why they would use it & how they would use it). Ideally also add a picture of your product and you now have a visual concept which you can use to gain people's views & opinions on...

Following on from developing your big idea & concept, a couple of other questions might now arise that might need some reflection...

  • What is the implication of the above questions?
  • Where does this now take you?
  • What are your options?
  • How many different ways can this idea be implemented?
  • Which are the best / strongest?

You are now in the realm of strategy development...

Thursday, 18 September 2008

Friends are either lying or are idiots (according to Scott Adams)

Over the course of the last few months I have let a few friends into my secret idea, partly to ease their curiosity and partly to gauge the levels of interest as consumers.

But how do I know if their response is because they're my friend or whether they're actually interested in the idea...

Well according to the creator of Dilbert, Scott Adam's, there's a simple rule to remember about friends and whether they're being disingenuous about your ideas (although in his context he's talking about writing a comic strip).

Don't listen to your friends who tell you your comics are hilarious. They're lying. Don't listen to your friends who tell you your comics suck. They're idiots. The only reliable feedback is the copy test, i.e. does someone want to copy your comic and show it to someone else who you don't know. If someone says he likes your comic but he doesn't ask to copy it for someone else, he doesn't really like your comic.
With that in mind I have a couple of friends who want to try out my idea and also I have a couple of friends I'd like to show my business buddy's idea to, as I think they'd love and are the perfect target audience for his idea and it would be great to get their feedback.
Perhaps these ideas I've been blogging on about actually do have legs then...

Wednesday, 17 September 2008

We suck and we love to fail!

Last night was my first foray into the world of improvisation. Improv (as I am loathed to call it!) seeks to react to stimuli in the moment either through comdey, acting, singing or dance, usually discovering new areas that concioussly would never be discovered.

One of the key elements of Improvisation is to accept that the process doesn't always work, but when it does, the discovery is worth it. Its like making real gold out of commonal garden materials, that people see & use everyday, but don't always see the gold for themself. And its important to recognise & embrace that the process requires failure before there can be any gold.



With all of that in mind, the improvisation group have a motto which we embrace at the start of every session..."We suck and we love to fail!"



I somehow think we should all embrace that motto a bit more - not just if you have an idea but also in every aspect of life...

Roll with the punches

This week I went to see a potential customer& see if they spare some time for an interview with them.

I just came in off the street & basically doorstepped the customer.

Now looking back on it was a bit of a risky strategy. Here's me just coming in off the street & asking potentially sensitive questions about this person's business without knowing really who I am or what I do. I was rather naive.

But the funny thing is this week's experience hasn't knocked me down. In the past I would be taking a regulatory standing 8 count.

Instead this seems to have unlocked a couple of other avenues to explore & to chase down previous doors. So for example I chased down a friend of a friend who does this as her day job & she's called me back so at least this way she kind of knows who I am & what I’m doing.

The other idea was to address a specific setback I had, as I'd hoped that this customer might be willing to participate in my test. So instead of moping about I’ve now thought why not advertise in a trade publication & see if there are any takers for doing a test in return for an expected revenue stream of a few hundred pounds per week.

So generally feeling good about these things even though they're not the best of news!

Bottom Up!

For the whole time I’ve been looking at this idea I've been thinking about how I get scale from it & quickly in a way that allows me to realise my dream of Learjets, Astons & expensive yachts. That is to say I’ve been looking at it from a total market opportunity aka “top down” approach. And that has been a good way to look at the potential of what it could be.

But it has also meant I've focussed in making it big quickly which brings about specific problems & risks, spending chunks of cash to get scale, securing large multinational retailers etc.

Today as I walked to the tube I realised that for me to be NO WORSE OFF versus my current package, would take significantly lower scale than my top down expectation - actually under 5% of my distribution target & I'd be confident I could get that by walking round on my own calling in the outlets or through a couple of trade shows.

Now while that's good to know I'm still aiming for the top down version, but at least it highlights that actually the risk of going it alone is within my own power. The only drawback to going piecemeal on the bottom up version is that exposes myself to risk that somebody with the resource & contacts in the industry could really exploit my idea x get it to the big idea quicker than my incremental way.

Saturday, 6 September 2008

Ranting & Raving

I was frustrated. But why? It was a simple enough suggestion. But for some reason it just got me into rant...

My business buddy had suggested he wanted to see a publically known inventor who was offering his “services” for £250 for an initial assessment, patent search and then if they thought it was a strong enough idea they would help & support the budding inventor for a stake in their company. So it’s Dragon's Den where in stead of getting money off the Dragon's you give them cash up front, and then they take a share of your success later on…

And the thing that REALLY annoyed me more than that was to think that this shower could offer us anything we either didn't know in advance from our own experiences or could easily get from one of our friends / colleagues. We have patent attorneys on hand, normal lawyers, accountants, designers, graphic artists, to name just a few… And never mind that we both have over 30 years of experience in Sales & Marketing…

So why did he need their help? Was it an insecurity that we couldn’t do any of the things that we had to do? Was it a lack of confidence in his idea? If that was the case why couldn’t he take his idea to a consumer panel to get their views? I didn’t understand his motivation for wanting to spend money & give a chunk of cash to these “clowns” (not very professional but I think that’s what I called them in my tirade!!!)

And now a few weeks later, he’s spent his money with this guy and when he told he had had a reply, he was punching the air – because somebody independent believes in his idea. I never thought he questioned his confidence in his idea, but I suppose we all do at some point. And now he has a palpable boost of energy for his idea in a similar way that I had a few weeks ago when I came up with my bodged production line. So I was wrong… it was worth the money to pay these “muppets” (again another word I may have used in the heat of battle!!).

And through all of this, I kept thinking… if they can have a business plan for what they do perhaps I too can beat them at their own game… may be a thought for another time…

Tuesday, 2 September 2008

Am I Daunted?

During my weekly guru time this week, I was asked if I felt daunted...

And I do.

I'll be dealing with big scary market leading companies, massive multinationals with market capitalisation's of billions of pounds. I'll be dealing with technology that I don't fully understand, but have a rough idea of how it works. I'll be juggling a whole load of things to make it work. I'll potentially be dealing with Venture Capitalists, seeking large chunks of wonga. I could be investing moolah in advertising and I will certainly be recruiting people to help build my idea into a profitable solution.

Of course I feel daunted but I don't necessarily feel scared. And that to me is really weird. I'm not scared but I sometimes feel daunted. This is a gargantuan mountain to climb, but I feel it can be scaled because the idea in itself is simple, easy and relatively universal.

Am I in denial at just how mind boggling big and difficult this idea will be to make it take off? Actually, now I come to think of it, making this idea work is the simple stuff - its the long term growth that feels more daunting - continually recruiting consumers into my idea and in turn building long term loyalty & repeat. Ok... now I'm a bit scared!

Its a bit of David & Goliath moment - I know I can hit anything with my stone & sling, and hitting this big giant smack in the right place will lead him to fall. So I'm ready to take on the giant but I better get my aim right and find a big enough stone!

Questions, questions questions...

I'm just about to do a test and I want to be really clear about what I expect from this small scale test.

In my mind there are FIVE key questions that the test will answer...



  1. Does it work?
  2. How appealing is it to consumers?
  3. How appealing is it to the trade?
  4. What is the right price point?
  5. Can I sell 100 of these in a week?

From these I'll have more confidence around different components in my business plan and will highlight the areas that I'll need to focus on in the next stage.

For example, I'll have over a 100 consumers to evaluate the likely appeal rates. I think I'm being quite conservative & cautious at the moment so that will be a good measure to be more certain about.

The other big area that the test will answer is about awareness and whether or not I need a high level of awareness to begin with or whether I can rely on the customer's authority & trust with the consumer - if that's the case I probably don't need £8m marketing spend in year 1!

So... I need to know answers to these questions as I can see a crossroads in my commercial strategy coming up. Certain answers make the case for going one way significantly more appealing than other directions.

Je Suis Le Grande Homme!

To live through the roller coaster of setting up a business with a new idea, I have come to the conclusion that one needs a degree of arrogance.

Why would I be an advocate for arrogance, given I seem to continually fight off that label for myself? Well... when taking people through one's new idea, some people out there can only see barriers & obstacles or reasons why it won't work. And lets be clear here - it is vitally important to recognise those barriers & obstacles as real otherwise any opportunity is just a pipe dream.

But its important to know too that there is a way around those obstacles (even if right now one doesn't know what those are!) and to believe in the idea and believe in being able to deliver the idea, no matter what the obstacles are.

Although most people I have told about my business idea think its a good one, they have all thought it has ... well... deficiencies. Some are very relevant and also ones that I have considered and others are borne from a lack of capability or understanding about the product / market itself.

For example, I have the same recurring challenge from my dad - one of Intellectual Property. I hear exactly what he is saying and I share his point of view, but if all I did was listen to him I would have shut up shop ages ago and not bothered progressing any of this. What I continually think is ..."Well how can we overcome this?" and I believe I have a real life solution that overcomes this barrier (I need to run it past a patent attorney just to be sure) but he still has issues with this but I think that's because he doesn't really understand how "normal" this issue actually is for a great number of producers. Anyway... probably now going into a separate discussion about me & my dad...

So my thought right now is that to maintain the momentum in bringing to life any idea, is a prerequisite to have arrogance but not conceit (I'm beginning to sound like Sister Sledge's "He's the greatest dancer!").

Well that's my excuse, and I'm sticking to it...

[Is it just me - when one uses "one" it sounds kinda arrogant & pompous! Point proven actually!]

Diversion

Over the last few days I've been a bit hacked off, and because of this my focus & energy levels for my business idea have dropped from the high I was feeling a couple of weeks ago.

The lack of energy & focus is not because I have met any new or unforseen obstacles. In actual fact I think I have actually found ways round some of my existing barriers which normally would have made me feel exhilirated.


What I think has happened (as I'm still in the process of working this out) is my energy and focus has been diverted into other areas around my life...


My work has stepped up a gear in the last couple of weeks and I'm needing to focus more & more time on that. Now even though I'm not working till crazy o'clock with work its actually taking up "processing" time out of work, so I'm thinking about things when I'm not at work, and that detracts from my thinking time on my business plans.


My personal life is all go too... I'm rarely having a night in and even when I am, I'm too knackered just to get things done. So what I've ended up with is a lot of semi-finished stuff that just needs some dedication behind it to finish it off so I can feel progress has been made.


So my energy levels for my business idea need an injection and I think I just have to re-prioritise and focus behind completing some of the outstanding actions, which once I've broken through these will re-energise me. This is where the "WILL" in my formula for success is really necessary...

Friday, 29 August 2008

REGULATORS! Mount Up!

Today marks a big milestone in my journey.

Today my "bodged" production line gave birth to 4 prototypes.

So now I just have to crank up the production to be able to handle a few hundred of these every day... hmmm... easy then! Oh and that's just for the test - I need to build a way of making 6 billion pa for the real thing...

But I'll worry about that another day. Today its worthwhile to just reflect on the journey thus far and take the time to punch the air!

Tuesday, 19 August 2008

Formula for Success

Now I started this blog with a post about management books that would be sold in Airport bookshops and I now think I've developed something which I think would probably end up in one of those management books...



Worryingly I came across this when I was cycling the other day (is it me or do some ideas just come when you don't think about it - something to do with subconscious thinking - is that not what Malcolm Gladwell's book Blink is all about?)


Anyway, my formula for success is

Can + Will = Have


Can is the opportunity and / or the capability. e.g. I can do this.


Will is the level of application, the determination, the zeal with which one attacks the Can. e.g. I will do this.


Have is the result of Can & Will. e.g. I have done this.


And here's the logical proof, if I don't Have, I must therefore not have the Can and or the Will.

Furthermore, the inverse holds true, i.e. if I Can't or Won't then I will never Have.


So I will now be challenging myself and others who are involved in this that if they have the Can and the Will, then we will Have.

Quite profound for a Tuesday...

Scrapheap Challenge

For the first time in a while I'm beginning to feel more confident about making progress on my big idea.

For the past year or so, I've been wrestling with the concept, getting excited one moment and the next losing it all when I come across a barrier, and then over time regrouping and trying to overcome the barriers and starting the whole loop all over again.

But now I can kind of see my way through it all and I'm buoyed up by this vision. I think the point of clarity really came when I worked out how I was actually going to do my test, as this then answers many questions. And once I have answered these questions it gave me a sense of direction and momentum behind my direction, that any future obstacles can be answered.

I have been able to "bodge" together a way of making the test happen. The solution is not ideal and will work in a completely different way to how I envisage the long term solution. However, the test version will look identical to the consumer as it will in the long term solution, so I think the bodge is a good proxy for reality. And who knows, the bodge version might actually be refined into offering a simpler solution than the one I currently envisage...

The reason for this bodged solution is basically because I don't know what I don't know about how it will work and I also don't have the money or time to perfect a solution that will work over the long term. So I'm hoping I'll be able to learn loads from the test to help me with the long-term solution and hopefully find me some short cuts and / or cost savings.

But its not all sorted - I still have some things to do to get the test off the ground in October...
  • Speak to a customer
  • Get a customer to agree to do the test (only a small ask!!!)
  • Develop the technical solution (I've only got the theory sorted - I still need to make it work!)
  • Test the technical solution in advance of the actual test
  • Develop & get legal opinion on the terms & conditions of sale
  • Understand the implications of the Data Protection Act
  • Develop the customer proposition - what's in it for them...
  • Develop an "insight" for the consumer need that underpins all the consumer communication
  • Develop & make some POS
  • Get public liability insurance (don't want a hefty legal bill if it doesn't work or cause damage to somebody / something!)
  • Oh... and develop the actual product!!!!!!

So all in all, I'm feeling energised behind making the test work as I now know how I'm going to make it work and also what I'll do once I've done the test, and I know I still have lots to do and not that long to bring it life...

Thursday, 31 July 2008

Diving in....

The way I currently feel is a bit like this analogy...


I'm looking out over a beautiful & calm swimming pool and it looks inviting to swim around in it, so I get my swimmers on and head off to the poolside.



As I reach the pool side I still want to go swimming but I'm checking the temperature of the water by dipping my toe in. But its not really telling me whether its warm enough or not. So I hesitate a bit more to try & find out if its warm enough. All the while the water level is going down (probably a leak or something like that in the pool!) and I become more and more frustrated about how far I've got to go to get to the water's edge every time I try to test the water, and every time I still can't make my mind up about going for a swim.



So in short I'm doubly frustrated because I want to go for a swim but I'm also frustrated that I don't know whether its warm enough for a swim. And the frustration becomes a self perpetuating engine as I the longer I hesitate the more work I have to do, and consequently the less energy I have.


I FEEL I should just dive in... what's the worst that could happen? If its too cold for a nice swim and after 10 minutes I just come out, cold & wet. But I can get warmed up and dry over time. In the real world that means resigning, getting stuck in and seeing what comes of it, and if its a complete disaster then apply for another job somewhere else or


Overall I believe that even if its too cold at first, I'm sure it will warm up in time. Again in the real world then just get stuck in and see where it leads me... it might be successful or it might lead me into something completely different.


To help with the feeling of frustration that I am constantly having to work harder at keeping interested and not feeling I am making progress... May be its time for a reflection to see just how far I have come so far?

Monday, 21 July 2008

Free and easy...

... and I'm not talking about my last date (I wish!).

My rollercoaster continued today as I researched one of my business ideas.

Surfing the web I came across a number of services that offered something pretty close to what I had imagined I would offer... and my heart sank! They all looked very professional, very sleek and talked about their benefits. Bollox! Why did I think I could do this? They look good, they know what they're doing and they're already up & running (one company talked about being established back in the day of 1988!).

I was up against the proverbial ropes, but I had put myself there. I had allowed my doubt to eat away at my confidence. I felt I had been there before, there was something re-assuring in my doubt... surely I looked into this before I had this idea? And then I remembered the whole reason behind my idea - the opportunity that all these other supplier had conveniently left out though left out a critical element... their price!

My whole point (my USP, as a poncy management guru might say) is my service is FREE! Now I know just how powerful that word is - according to Asda its the most powerful word in a marketeer's thesaurus (and "New" is the second most powerful word, by the way!). Now being free means I have to get scale (i.e. a high number of people to use this service) in order for the business model to work and to get that scale I need to make it remarkably easy to use for all - so easy that my granny should be able to use it. But what the research did tell me was that I also need to offer absolute reliability.

So I need to remain focussed & single minded behind the real power of my idea... free, easy to use and reliable - and ignore any distractions of confidence!

Saturday, 19 July 2008

Darkest hour before dawn...










I'm a bit disappointed...

Yesterday I was formally told my application for career break had been rejected as my role within the project I am working on was too critical (nice compliment!).

But I seem to be taking this all very stoically.

I had hoped I would win the Euromillions last night so that I could storm in to work on Monday and tell them to stuff their job, but alas the jackpot went to somebody outside of the UK. An outburst of jingoism is justified, I feel!

Anyway... the whole point of the career break was to being able to dedicate myself to my business ideas and get cracking on them. Now it seems I won't be able to focus solely on making my ideas happen.

But what this has done for me is make me think about how I can progress... I'm thinking that this actually allows me to radically reduce my risk. I can take a extended holiday, may be 3 or 4 weeks and then test my idea in the real world and be more confident from that about the next steps. If it works really well I can feel confident in taking time out (either by re-applying for a career break and feel confident that investors will step up to the plate for a proven success) or if it dives then working on something else. Overall its make me think differently - taking me away from the comfort of the BIG COMPANY THINKING.

So the dark disappointment is not the end of the world as I know it... just the start of a new dawn.

Tuesday, 1 July 2008

BIG COMPANY PLODDING, small entrepreneurial nimble thinking


Today was the start of my BIG FTSE top 100 company's new financial year, and to mark the new financial year we all gathered to hear our Managing Director and the leadership team set us up for the forthcoming year. It was professional, gave a clear direction and, I think, will set us up well to deliver this year and the future.


Throughout the presentation, stuck in a hot room, I kept thinking a couple of things...


Firstly, that I don't fit into the mould for my current employer. I am a maverick, and I'm not being big headed or vain about saying that. I clearly straddle two functional bases at work - marketing & sales - and have thus far been able to generate a role with feet in both camps. But the flip side of that is I don't have a firm home to which I belong at my current employers.

Secondly, all through the presentation I kept thinking - this is great stuff for my employer, but its not for my company. I think today I realised just how BIG COMPANY THINKING my thinking on my idea actually is. My idea, and making it happen, is currently framed in the context of a top FTSE 100 company executing the idea, as opposed to a small nimble operator who has an idea and gets on with it.

I'm reminded of a friend who started his own company & product in something like 7 weeks, and he was able to do this because all he had to do was get approval from himself and make it happen. He could change as he went along. He didn't need thousands or hundreds of thousands of pounds to bring it alive. I can't ever imagine bring something to life within a big company atmosphere in 7 months never mind in 7 weeks!

So how can you get the best out of BIG COMPANY THINKING and mesh it with nimble thinking? What is nimble thinking? I need to find out...

Monday, 30 June 2008

How do you eat an Elephant?


... one mouthful at a time.


And that's really what Innovation is all about as well. Looking at the enormity of the task at hand - to launch an new idea - can seem very very daunting. There are two things that are required to take the fear out of the task...


Firstly, break the task down into bite size morsels. It may seem counter intuitive, but start at the end, as this will focus the attention on the goal. Clarify what is the objective and think SMART - though I like to change Achievable with Ambitious as I believe Achievable is already connected with Realistic.


Once you have the goal set, work back and think about the things that are required to make that task happen. For example, if I set out that I wanted to make a cup of tea, I would first off define how I like my tea. Then I would have to work out the steps in the reverse order... serve the tea, stir the tea, put milk back in fridge, add the milk, take the milk out of the fridge, dunk the tea bag, add the water, place tea bag in mug, find mug, turn the kettle on, fill the kettle... Now I have the work flow set out, run through it in the correct order and see if it makes sense or if anything is missing. Now all that is left to do is to add in accurate timings & allocate resources to the

The second thing you need is perseverance & determination. And bags of it. Some little tools to help here... set time limits on each of the task outlined above. Make commitments to others, as you are more likely to do them. Allocate time during the week to do them (e.g. a Sunday evening). Keep it alive by constantly referring back to it, perhaps by keeping a copy of the plan in a workbook and checking progression daily - this will ensure that there's a sense of achievement & progression which in turn will revitalise the energy & input into the project - a virtuous engine.

Its simple... but that of course is how so many ideas have come to life... not in one big gulp, like a gigantic python with a dislocating jaw, but more of patient and determined single bite at a time.

Wednesday, 25 June 2008

Ignorance is bliss....

Last night I interviewed an ex employee of a potential customer to understand in a bit more detail the operations & workings that go on behind the scenes, and I'm back on the rollercoaster again...

First of all, my assumptions about how the customer operates have been confirmed. The systems and procedures are even more detailed than I suspected, which means the implementation of my idea will be even easier. Brilliant!!!

The other side of that coin, is that it actually becomes easier therefore for the customer to go & do it themselves. My idea would have little or no intellectual protection as its

So this then presents me with some dilemmas to ponder...

  • Do I still go ahead as is, and take the risk that they might nick the idea?
  • Do I think about how I could get them on board without developing their own idea?
  • Do I make the idea more complicated to make it difficult for them to copy for themselves?
  • Do I change tack completely, and develop a strategy that minimises their input?
  • Do I go to them with the idea and develop jointly?

Just in that one conversation I have gleaned so much yet its also rocked my confidence - I've wondered if I am right to take time off work, never mind go ahead and seek investment & launch!!!

I need to reflect that I am now in a better place than I was before yesterday, and that now I can quantify their systems and have identified the risk of them taking this idea on their own as more realistic. Ignorance may be bliss, but I now have the power to make the right choice...

Monday, 23 June 2008

The first £100...

A few weeks ago I told one of my friends about my business idea as he has himself started his own business about 8 years ago.

And he gave me some great advice... concentrate on making the first £100.

This is has been invaluable for several reasons:

  1. Focus on the achievable
  2. By focusing on the achievable, it means it won't get too complicated, either in the start up or as an ongoing concern
  3. By making it achievable, it means it can be tested and the offering in turn revised prior to full set up
And I've shared this principal with my buddy and it seems to have helped him as well, making it easier for him to see how he can start rather than wondering about how to get scale behind the business. It now provides a basis for building the self propelling business model he has adopted...
Its shaped my business plan, as I now have a solution that without it I would have immediately discounted and helps me transition my thinking from big business to the nimble entrepreneur. I can also set something up to make £100 quite easily, where as before I needed several hundred thousand pounds just to make a test. Now I can test quickly and easily with little / no risk and all the upsides from testing in order to get stacks of cash from investors to get to the next stage.
So focus on making the first £100, and everything after that will fall into place...

First step taken...


Today I have taken the first step on the voyage... and immediately I am thinking of Dr David Livingstone's famous quote "I am prepared to go anywhere, provided it be forward." I really don't know where this will end up but I do know I am making progress...


My first step in making my dream come true was to apply for time off from my employer - now there's no guarantee that this will be granted, but at least it makes me feel that I am making things happen.


Today is a bit of an anti-climax. I thought there might be a profoundness to it all, a feeling of destiny achieved, but in actual fact its just another day. Its exactly what it was like when I went to Japan last year... bit of trepidation, then off, then a kind of panic once I was there and then get stuck in and then success. I'm hoping the end is the same...
So interesting times ahead...

Friday, 13 June 2008

Qu'est-ce que c'est "Buddy"?

This week, I took action on an idea that had been in my head for a couple of days, and its transformed & energised my business plan tremendously!

I've buddied up with an old colleague who is also at the same stage in thinking of starting his own business and we have dedicated 2 hours a week to bounce ideas around each other's business plans.

Here's how it works - we take it in turns to focus on each other's idea - being coach, mentor, challenger and inspirer of the other one. We bat around the topics that are bugging us, that are stopping us from progressing, and examine new ways round those barriers we have encountered. In essence, we are helping each other through each step of the journey. At the end of the session a committment on what is to be done in the next 2 weeks is made, with a penalty that if you don't do it then you put £20 on the table - so there's a strong motivation to move forward!

Its a classic quid pro quo arrangement - in return for me helping him, he helps me. Its not competitive (well so far its not been!) because we are looking at completely different things as a business and we know the value in helping each other out.

So far there have been 5 benefits for me...
  1. Sharing the load - I can now share my problems, worries & frustrations with somebody who is also in the same boat, who I know won't be judging me or who I worry won't want to invest in my business plan, where as in the past I've been trying to justify why my idea is great!
  2. Challenging my perspective & offering a fresh perspective - I've been carrying my business idea around in my head for just over a year and I've "landed" certain ways of developing my idea, and in just one session I've re-considered those ideas, making them something that can actually happen by my impact, not waiting for somebody else to stump or the cash or make something happen - it is now in my own hands!
  3. Excitement & re-energised - The new ideas and the challenges have made me not only feel more confident in my idea, but also that I don't need to wait for other people for me to realise this idea. I can take small steps on my own, making it less of a leap when I need others (i.e. money men!) to come on board.
  4. Committed - I now know I have a number of smaller tasks to complete in the next two weeks and have a defined deadline, which makes me more commited
  5. Less scary - by breaking the tasks down into things I can do right now, and making them to be delivered in the next two weeksmakes them far more tangible, and makes me feel that I can make it happen.
So I would strongly advocate getting to know somebody that also has a business to develop, ideally at the same stage that you are at, and get stuck in!

Monday, 9 June 2008

Danger! Danger! High Voltage!!!

Dreams can be dangerous things... if you don't have ambitions & dreams then life is simple, stable & satisfying.



However, by even daring to dream, life completely changes. If you have an ambition but don't realise it, then it leaves the potential to be unsatisfied in life - to feel you've been cheated out of something that you never had anyway...



Having an ambition, means that you will at some point have to make a choice between the simple life and the life where you can achieve your ambition. And that choice is not a free choice, as there are costs involved in that choice, mainly risk.



And that risk is multifaceted in my experience... I first of all have some financial risk, in that I may lose money in the project, and I may loose my safe & secure job. But its only money (what's £30k over a lifetime!!! Answer - its £30k!) and I can make a living at some point by doing something, and I hope that even if this fails my experiences through this will allow me to be more attractive in the labour market place.



Secondly, and quite high up there, is the fear of failure and the resulting loss of pride & face. This is a bit more difficult to mitigate, and is intrinsically linked to ambition. There is an interesting link between pride, vulnerability and ambition. Vulnerability is something we all want to avoid, but with ambition there comes a time where you have to be vulnerable, and to be frank if its not scary enough is it really an ambition. To quote a female colleague... "if its comfortable, its not big enough!". To succeed we need to be vulnerable and accept we are vulnerable and to take the risk on. Its a bit like soldiers fighting in the front line - I watched a programme the other day about soldiers trapped in a firefight in a house in Iraq, and when the relief came they couldn't find the right house, so the trapped patrol leader jumped out of the house and ran down the street (filled with shooting militia!!!!) to signal the drivers of the armoured personnel carriers where the house was. When asked later why he did that, he said something along the lines that he felt he was dead anyway, and that the only way out was to risk it... Now that's making yourself vulnerable! But it was worth the risk as all his patrol escaped unharmed.



The other risk is that I am used to working in a wider group in a corporate lifestyle. I will have to forgo the benefit of being in a collective where I can hide from the storm, pass the buck, prevaricate and celebrate other people's achievements as my own (not that I need to do that, since I am so good, obviously!). And for awhile I will be on my own. I will not be having lunch with close colleagues everyday. I will not be chewing the fat. I will not be moaning about senior leaders in the business and the craziness of their ideas. I will be the leader of my own destiny, and its my crazy idea!!! I risk social exclusion from a group I am very close to...



But at the end of it, this risk or danger is all in the mind. By staying put there is a danger in that too. There is a risk of not having ambition can lead to becoming complacent, and facing the same risks, or in actual fact, a bigger danger than if I had ambition. Lets take the example of the turkeys at Christmas - for their whole life they have a simple life in that they get fed, run around a farm (lets assume they are free range!), and are offered security from any prowling foxes or other predators. But what if the turkey had an ambition to run off the farm and live a life less ordinary... it would give up regular safety, food and friends but be more or less master of its own destiny. Now we all know what happens to farmed turkeys - they get suddenly & without warning, culled for our festive dinner! But what about the turkey with ambition - it might have been gobbled up by the fox or it might have died of starvation, but it might have just escaped the danger and achieved its ambition...

So, all in all, I need to put myself in danger! Its the only way I will be in danger of making a change in my life and living the life I want...

Wednesday, 21 May 2008

How to write a business plan - my thoughts...

Currently I have a Microsoft Word template for building my business plan, which is a combination of a number of things - my experience from new product development at my current employer; my readings on the matter; and some additional thoughts about how I can build in my thinking into my business plan.

The basic structure is as follows:-

Executive Summary


The Opportunity - The situation, the idea, how it works and the key benefits to the user


Strategy - objectives & mission; product strategy; marketing strategy; distribution strategy; financial & risk management strategy; strategic alliances; dashboards


Company Information - location; objectives & mission; ownership; start-up funding; legal (including Intellectual Property); Company KPI's


Product - product objectives & strategy; product description; competitors; technical solution; npd opportunities; competitive advantage; product KPI's; product budget


Marketing - marketing strategy & objectives; market information; market trends & consumption patterns; consumer identification & segmentation; consumer insight; brand definition & essence wheel; price positioning; advertising & promotional activity; new & expanding market opportunities; marketing KPI's; marketing budget


Distribution - distribution objectives & strategy; routes to consumer; distribution structure & segmentation analysis; distribution insights; number of distribution points & share; distribution marketing & communication; distribution pricing positioning & strategy; distribution KPI's; distribution budget


Strategic Alliances & Corporate Affairs - corporate affairs objectives & strategy; stakeholder mapping; stakeholder management; corporate affairs KPI's; corporate affairs budget


Financial & Risk Management - financial & risk management objectives & strategy; proposed business model; finance KPI's; projected profit / loss and balance sheet; key ratios; cash collection & bad debt; overall risk identification & mitigation plan; risk KPI's; finance & risk management KPI's


People - people objective & strategy; management structure; organisational structure; role profiles; cultural values; policies; people KPI's; people budget


Appendix - all relevant background documents referred to above



I have also developed a summary business plan which really just outlines the opportunity, the financial modelling, KPI's and key next steps. This I am envisaging will help gauge attractiveness of the idea by key stakeholders, before I put too much work into the main business plan.



One other thing I've developed along side either of these two documents is a non-disclosure agreement, to enable the discussion of key pertinent facts with friends and potential investors and still protect your intellectual property.

Over and above these documents, I still have to develop my pitch to potential investors.